risk-reward

Powerful Risk Management Strategies For Dividend Stocks

Posted on by Joseph M. Brennan Jr.

This article informs how to effectively manage risk for stocks to include those which regularly pay dividends. For those of you who have been following my stock market investing activities you know that I have been recently buying dividend stocks to include Schnitzer Steel (SCHN) and AGL Resources (GAS). Dividend stocks offer unique opportunities to realize gains due to quarterly, or sometimes even monthly, dividend payments as well as the potential appreciation in the stock prices. This combination can allow you to patiently execute your disciplined strategies and improve your chances of realizing significant gains over timte. This can happen even when the stocks you are initially holding significantly decline. In fact, I often earn greater gains overall when the stocks that I initially buy decline, because I tend to grow my position over time through price averaging such that when the stocks I’m holding stage a rally a larger profit is earned across my overall investment accounts.

Here’s an example of some of the strategies that I employ which work fairly well; especially for stocks which pay a dividend. Imagine that you initially buy 200 shares of XYZ stock at a notional price of $10.00 which pays an annual dividend of 5%. The very next step that I now take for all stocks that I initially buy is to decide “up front” what I reasonably consider to be a substantial gain in the stock price. This can vary depending on the nature of the stock, but I usually target a 5%-10% gain as a reasonable substantial gain for many of the stocks that I’ve held although for those which tend to be highly volatile in nature I might try to get 15% or 20%. Let’s assume that we consider a 10% gain to be a reasonable expectation for a substantial gain in the XYZ stock. I next proceed with immediately putting in a sell order for the shares I initially bought at a sale price of $11.00 (10% gain from the $10.00 price that I initially bought them at). If the price ever touches $11.00 the shares would then be immediately sold for this “substantial” gain. This “up front” strategy is something that I use for all stocks that I buy, not just dividend stocks. However, here is a demonstration of an additional strategy that I now employ for dividend stocks: If the XYZ stock price declines by twice as much as the annual dividend (a 10% decline in this example since the notional XYZ stock paid a 5% dividend) then I price average into it by doubling down on the stock at that point in time. Thus, the initial 10% loss would be immediately transformed into a 5% loss. A loss which could notionally be completely erased in a year’s time by the dividend payouts alone even if the stock does not appreciate in value within that timeframe. In addition, for the new set of shares I purchased, I would again decide “up front” what I considered to be a substantial gain (e.g., 10% gain) and proceed with immediately putting in a sell order for this set of shares at the 10% gain price to immediately cash in on this should the stock ever touch this price. If the XYZ stock declines another 5% (10% loss total overall) then I would again double down on the stock to transform that 10% loss into a 5% loss which could again potentially be completely mitigated solely by the dividend payouts in a years time and once again decide “up front” what I considered to be a substantial gain for these new shares (e.g., 10% gain) and proceed with putting in a sell order for these shares at the 10% gain price. Even if the XYZ stock experiences a series of back-to-back significant declines you can grow your position and posture yourself for potential future gains, because declining stocks generally do not go down in a straight line. They tend to rise and fall over time. So chances are that if you are patient, and stick with your strategy, you will realize substantial gains due to the combined effect of the dividend payments and the stock price appreciation. This combined effect can significantly reduce your risk and increase your chances of success. Typically, when employing these strategies, I target stocks which pay between 3% and 5% in annual dividends. Anything less does not buy you much in terms of managing risk via these strategies and anything above is typically unsustainable and likely to result in future dividend cuts or suspensions unless the investments you are targeting historically have paid higher dividends such as some Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) and high yield bond funds.

The above strategies do not consider the tax implications of the dividends or capital gains which might be earned so you might want to make adjustments if you would like to factor these in. In addition, there is always the chance that dividend payouts could be reduced or suspended, however, frequently dividends are increased over time. In either case, the above strategies work fairly well as a starting point, but you should periodically evaluate how well your strategies are working for you towards supporting your investment goals and make adjustments over time to improve the effectiveness of the strategies that you employ. I have developed and employed many investment strategies over the years, some of which I have written about in these articles, and frequently have evaluated these strategies and made adjustments to them over time such that they better supported my investment needs. I encourage you to do the same.

The strategies that I have presented in this article will allow you to take advantage of the natural volatile nature of stocks such that even those which significantly decline over time can result in minimal losses or perhaps even substantial gains. Often, these strategies will result in a series of buys on significant declines and a series of sells on significant rallies as well as dividend payouts for the shares that you hold the night immediately preceding the established ex-dividend dates. Selling a portion of your gains all along the way allows you to use the cash that you raise to buy additional shares should the stocks you are holding reverse and decline if the risk-reward for these stocks remain favorable in nature.

Substantial gains can often be realized using these strategies, if you are patient, because lagging stocks frequently become leading stocks over time and the dividend payments from dividend stocks can allow you to receive incremental gains all along the way while you patiently wait for the stock price appreciation to happen. Developing and refining strategies “up front”, such as those that I have discussed in this article, is critical to your success as an investor. Doing this well can transform you from being an emotional investor into a disciplined one who realizes steady and consistent success over time. I have developed several solid strategies for clients that I work with depending on the client’s risk category, the type and nature of the stocks being considered, the investing environment at the time, and the risk-reward indicators that I generally look at. Feel free to contact me if you’d like to find out more.

This article informs how to effectively manage risk for stocks through pre-planning and effective techniques and strategies to include stocks which regularly pay dividends; even when the stocks you are holding significantly decline. Part of being a solid investor is recognizing opportunities when you see them and promptly capitalizing on them when the risk-reward of securities you are tracking become highly favorable (as a buyer) or highly unfavorable (as a potential seller or short seller) in nature. By periodically rotating out of investments which become less favorable and into investment opportunities which become more favorable in nature you will realize consistent investment success over time. You won’t make winning investments all of the time, but the point is to use strategies and techniques which allow you to make winning investments for much of the time. I can help in these regards.

Please contact me if you need any assistance with any of your financial planning, management, and/or investing needs as this is one of the areas that I actively perform life coaching and training in. Also feel free to click on “Financial Planning, Management, and Investing Related Posts” to the sidebar on the right or below (depending upon which device you are using to view this article) for helpful tips on how to become a solid investor. These articles provide helpful tips on how to become a solid investor so read through some of these if you think they might be helpful to you. In addition, in case some of you would like to follow along, here is where I regularly post about my stock market activities. So feel free to visit this page if you would like to follow what I’m doing in the stock market at any given time.

For those that did not know, I generally perform life coaching and training services in two primary areas: 1) Personal and Professional Improvement, Development, and Growth, and 2) Financial Planning, Management, and Investing. As such, I generally alternate the articles that I write via my blogs between these two topic areas. This particular article is associated with the second area that I life coach in. So if you do not have much interest in financial planning, management, and investing, rest assured that one of the next articles that I write will be in the area that you might have greater interest in; the personal and professional improvement, development, and growth area. You can also follow me on Twitter if you like at: Joseph M Brennan Jr @ BrighterDaysLC

Joseph M. Brennan Jr.
CEO/Life Coach – Brighter Days Life Coaching
“Your Brighter Days Life Coach for Life”

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Make a Bad Day Better
Make a Good Day Better
Create a Brighter Life

 

The Cool, Calm, and Collected Investor: How To Minimize Losses and Even Achieve Gains When Investments Sharply Decline

Posted on by Joseph M. Brennan Jr.

This article informs how to effectively manage risk by minimizing losses and transforming these losses into gains over time when investments sharply decline. For those of you who have been following my stock market investing activities you know that I have been actively buying and selling shares of an oil company called Seadrill (SDRL) over the past couple of months. At the recent bottom, a couple of weeks ago, this stock had lost about 43% since I first started buying it back in late November, but I was able to transform this loss into a substantial gain. Patience, discipline, and the use of effective techniques are the keys to success when stocks that you initially buy significantly decline. Effective techniques that I used in this particular example were price averaging and the periodic selling of technical “bounces” by taking advantage of the natural volatility of stocks. These techniques can work well, because stocks generally do not go down in a straight line. They tend to rise and fall over time.

Here’s a sample scenario which demonstrates how to effectively use these techniques. Imagine that you buy 200 shares of SDRL at a notional price of $10.00 ($2,000 invested total). A week later the stock falls to $9.00 which is a 10% loss. At that point you decide to invest another $2,000 and buy 222 shares of SDRL resulting in an average price per share of $9.48 ($4,000 total invested/422 total shares = $9.48 per share). This technique demonstrates the concept of price averaging.

Upon buying the second set of shares (the 222 shares of SDRL at $9.00 per share in this case) you can immediately place a sell order for these shares for whatever you consider to be a substantial gain for these particular shares. Let’s say, for illustration purposes, that you decide on a 10% gain or a price of $9.90. You would then monitor the stock and if it approaches the 10% gain for those shares then you might either manually execute the sell order prior to reaching the $9.90 price or wait until it is automatically triggered at the $9.90 price. If it sells at 9.90 then you will have received $2,198 for the $2,000 invested in these shares. If the stock drops again to, say, $9.00 you might again buy the shares at this price. In this case, you might invest another $2,000 (and retain the remaining $198 as your profit) buying 222 shares which once again results in an average price per share of $9.48. And you can continue this process throughout the ups and downs of stock prices by taking advantage of the natural volatile nature of stocks such that even those that decline significantly over time can result in you experiencing minimal losses or perhaps even realizing some substantial gains as I was able to do with the SDRL stock over the past couple of months. Often, this strategy will result in a series of buys on significant declines and a series of sells on significant rallies. However, by operating in the fashion described above you will only be selling each set of shares whenever they experience significant gains which will, at worst, minimize your losses or, at best, generate significant gains in time.

One of the keys to successful investing involves being prepared in case things do not turn out the way you might initially expect such that you can capitalize either way that things might go. The above strategy allowed me transform an initial 43% loss into a substantial gain. A substantial gain is often likely if you are patient, because, in the investment world, frequently lagging stocks become leading stocks, over time, and so long as the risk-reward indicators remain favorable in nature it makes sense to continue buying and/or holding shares of these stocks.

Selling a portion of your gains all along the way allows you to use the cash you raise to buy additional shares should the stocks you are holding reverse and begin to decline. Because in the world of investing nothing is ever certain. This is why developing and refining strategies “up front” is so critical to success. Doing this can transform you from being an emotional investor into a disciplined one who realizes steady and consistent success over time. I have solid risk management strategies that I have developed for various investment types and investing environments, for the clients that I work with, so feel free to contact me if you’d like to find out more.

This article informs how to make the most of investment situations through pre-planning and effective techniques and strategies; even when the stocks you are holding significantly decline. Part of being a solid investor is recognizing opportunities when you see them and promptly capitalizing on them when the risk-reward of securities you are tracking become highly favorable (as a buyer) or highly unfavorable (as a potential seller or short seller) in nature. By periodically rotating out of investments which become less favorable and into investment opportunities which become more favorable in nature you will realize consistent investment success over time. You won’t make winning investments all of the time, but the point is to use strategies and techniques which allow you to make winning investments for much of the time. I can help in these regards.

Please contact me if you need any assistance with any of your financial planning, management, and/or investing needs as this is one of the areas that I actively perform life coaching and training in. Also feel free to click on “Financial Planning, Management, and Investing Related Posts” to the sidebar on the right or below (depending upon which device you are using to view this article) for helpful tips on how to become a solid investor. These articles provide helpful tips on how to become a solid investor so read through some of these if you think they might be helpful to you. In addition, in case some of you would like to follow along, here is where I regularly post about my stock market activities. So feel free to visit this page if you would like to follow what I’m doing in the stock market at any given time.

For those that did not know, I generally perform life coaching and training services in two primary areas: 1) Personal and Professional Improvement, Development, and Growth, and 2) Financial Planning, Management, and Investing. As such, I generally alternate the articles that I write via my blogs between these two topic areas. This particular article is associated with the second area that I life coach in. So if you do not have much interest in financial planning, management, and investing, rest assured that one of the next articles that I write will be in the area that you might have greater interest in; the personal and professional improvement, development, and growth area. You can also follow me on Twitter if you like at: Joseph M Brennan Jr @ BrighterDaysLC

 

Joseph M. Brennan Jr.
CEO/Life Coach – Brighter Days Life Coaching
“Your Brighter Days Life Coach for Life”

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Make a Bad Day Better
Make a Good Day Better
Create a Brighter Life

 

Key Investment Results and Findings From 2014 and Refinements to Investment Strategies and Techniques

Posted on by Joseph M. Brennan Jr.

This article offers a reflection on key investment related results and findings from 2014 and informs how to make the most of investment situations through pre-planning and the development and refinement of investment strategies and techniques.

 

So… The results are now officially in. I was able to beat each of the major stock market indexes in 2014. My personal investment account earned 20.8% while my much smaller Roth IRA account (which is subject to more stringent rules, such as no margin and more stringent buying and selling rules, making investing a bit more challenging) earned 9.0%. Between the two I collectively earned a 19.2% gain, which is nearly a 3 year gain on average, and was over five times the Russell 2000 index’s year end gain of 3.6%, nearly triple the Dow Jones Industrial Average index’s year end gain of 7.5%, and almost double the S&P 500 index’s gain of 11.4%. So, overall, this was a highly successful investment year for me. Especially since 85% of actively managed fund managers lagged the benchmark indexes they were seeking to beat in 2014 making it their worst year in 30 years.

The key to my investment success this past year was strong discipline and the active assessment and refinement of my investment strategies and techniques. Early in the year my investment account was down 33% due to some stocks which continuously declined, but I kept buying into them, because the risk-reward indicators that I generally look at were highly favorable in nature and often lagging stocks eventually become leading stocks. So I patiently waited for the rebound to happen and sure enough it did. Years ago, as a young investor, I might have made the classic investing mistake by panicking and selling at the bottom; fully realizing the 33% loss in the process. However, strong discipline allowed me to continue executing my investment strategies. And it takes a lot of discipline to keep buying into stocks which sharply decline in value and to patiently wait for rebounds to happen.

Once I was able to fully recover from my early losses, I made adjustments to my investment strategies and techniques to better align them with my desired investment risks. I made adjustments to my risk-reward thresholds as well as my investment trade execution amounts. These refinements allowed me to greatly capitalize on the mid September-to-mid October market slump where the overall stock market lost nearly 10% and then rapidly gained over 11% over a period of about 3 weeks or so. During that period of time my investment account lost 6%, but then rose 22% over the three week recovery period; beating the S&P 500 Index both on the way down and on the way up. So my refined investment strategies and techniques allowed me experience less downside as well as greater upside with respect to the overall S&P 500 Index which indicates that the refinements I made were fairly effective overall.

One key message here is that it is important to maintain a sense of discipline by defining your investment strategies and techniques “up front” and executing these accordingly. Solid investment strategies and techniques need to define what actions you will take either way things might go: whether the stocks you purchase rise or whether they fall. Because, in the investment world, things do not always play out the way you might initially expect, but either way things go your investment strategies and techniques should allow you to frequently capitalize. Mine do. Another key message here is to always seek to refine your investment strategies and techniques so that you continue to maximize the benefit you get out of these. When I experienced the 33% loss early in 2014, I came to realize that my investment strategies and techniques were a bit too risky for my purposes, so I made refinements to these. Refinements which allowed me to greatly capitalize later in the year. I’ve made several refinements to my investment techniques and strategies over the years. The investment techniques and strategies that I use today look nothing like those that I used during my early investment days. So make it a regular practice to evaluate and refine the investment techniques and strategies that you use over time.

This article informs how to make the most of investment situations through pre-planning and the development and refinement of investment strategies and techniques. Part of being a solid investor involves effectively performing pre-planning and executing in accordance with your pre-defined strategies and techniques in a disciplined fashion; taking actions to exit investments which become unfavorable in nature (as a seller) and capitalizing on new investment opportunities which become favorable in nature (as a buyer). By periodically rotating out of investments which become less favorable and into investment opportunities which become more favorable in nature you will realize consistent investment success over time. You won’t make winning investments all of the time, but the point is to use strategies and techniques which allow you to make winning investments for much of the time. Being a solid investor also involves recognizing opportunities when you see them and promptly capitalizing on them when the risk-reward of securities you are tracking become highly favorable (as a buyer) or highly unfavorable (as a potential seller or short seller) in nature. You always want to be thinking several “moves” ahead of the stock market and have an idea of what you might do at every turn. Solid investment strategies and techniques will allow you to do this such that you become a disciplined investor who realizes consistent success over time instead of being an emotional investor who frequently loses money and misses out on key opportunities. I can work with you to help you determine which techniques and strategies might be the most appropriate for you to use for your particular investment situations, risk categories, and time horizons.

Please contact me if you need any assistance with any of your financial planning, management, and/or investing needs as this is one of the areas that I actively perform life coaching and training in. Also feel free to click on “Financial Planning, Management, and Investing Related Posts” to the sidebar on the right or below (depending upon which device you are using to view this article) for helpful tips on how to become a solid investor to include some of the topics that I have alluded to in this article such as pre-planning, strategy development, and risk management. These articles provide helpful tips on how to become a solid investor so read through some of these if you think they might be helpful to you or to others in your life. In addition, in case some of you would like to follow along, here is where I regularly post about my stock market activities. So feel free to visit this page if you would like to follow what I’m doing in the stock market at any given time. Some people like to monitor my investment activities and if stocks that I purchase on any given day decline then they seek to buy and if stocks that they own that I sell on any given day rise then they seek to sell since, in either case, they would have gotten a better deal than I. So feel free to follow along and execute your investment strategies accordingly if you so desire.

For those that do not know, I perform life coaching and training services in two primary areas: 1) Personal and Professional Improvement, Development, and Growth, and 2) Financial Planning, Management, and Investing. As such, I generally alternate the articles that I write via my blogs between these two topic areas. This particular article is associated with the second area that I life coach in. So if you don’t have much interest in financial planning, management, and investing rest assured that soon I will write an article which will be in the area that you might have greater interest in; the personal and professional improvement, development, and growth area. You can also follow me on Twitter if you like at: Joseph M Brennan Jr @ BrighterDaysLC

Please contact me if you, or someone else in your life, could use some assistance with either of the two primary areas that I actively perform life coaching in. You can learn more about each of these areas by clicking on the menu, footer, and sidebar items.

Joseph M. Brennan Jr.
CEO/Life Coach – Brighter Days Life Coaching
“Your Brighter Days Life Coach for Life”

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Make a Bad Day Better
Make a Good Day Better
Create a Brighter Life

 

Pre-Planned Investment Strategies For Investment Success

Posted on by Joseph M. Brennan Jr.

This article informs how to make the most of investment situations through pre-planning and effective strategies. For those of you who have been following my stock market investing activities you know that I have been actively buying shares of an oil company called Seadrill (SDRL) over the past several weeks. To put things into perspective, regarding the SDRL stock, at the recent bottom a couple of days ago, this stock had lost about 40% since I started buying it, but my overall loss due to price averaging into was about 12% at that point in time (the stock has dropped about 74% since the end of June). However, no matter what happened from that point in time forward, I had a plan. If SDRL continued falling, I would continue buying it into the year end, until I could buy no more, and then I would sell the entire stake and buy stock in a different oil company which paid a nice dividend (COP, TOT, and BP currently pay dividends between 4.5% and 7.0% per year). The reason I planned to do this, given the losses continued, was that I could recoup 28% of my losses due to the tax write-off since I am effectively in the 28% tax bracket. I could realize this tax write-off so long as I sold the stock before the end of the year and I did not buy the same stock for 30 days which is why I was targeting different companies. Via this 28% effective gain, plus the 4.5%-7.0% dividend anticipated for the coming year, I would have largely recovered from my losses even if the value of the new stock did not appreciate over the coming year. However, there is a significant probability that oil stocks will appreciate significantly in the coming year, because often, in the world of investing, lagging stocks become leading stocks.

However, in this particular case, as luck would have it, the SDRL stock reversed and surged higher in a four day rally. As a result, my 12% loss on Monday transformed into a 10% gain as of today and I began selling this stock to realize these gains. To date I have sold about a third of my SDRL shares. The reason why I decided to do this was, because this will allow me to use this cash to buy additional shares should the stock reverse again and begin to decline further.

You can rest assured, however, that either way things go in the future I have a plan. If SDRL continues rising significantly I’ll sell more shares to continue price averaging out of it, but if it falls significantly then I’ll look to buy more shares. Part of being a solid investor is recognizing opportunities when you see them and promptly capitalizing on them when the risk-reward of securities you are tracking become highly favorable (as a buyer) or highly unfavorable (as a potential seller or short seller) in nature.

You always want to be thinking several “moves” ahead of the stock market and have an idea of what you might do at every turn. Doing this will allow you to become a disciplined investor who realizes consistent success over time instead of being an emotional investor who frequently loses money and misses out on key opportunities. I do not care what your strategy is, just have one no matter how things go. Some strategies work better than others depending on what investing environment you are in, but having no strategy at all is a sure recipe for failure. I can help you to determine which strategies might be the most appropriate for you to use for your particular investment situations and time horizons.

This article informs how to make the most of investment situations through pre-planning and effective strategies. Part of being a solid investor involves effectively performing pre-planning and executing in accordance with your pre-defined strategies in a disciplined fashion; taking actions to exit investments which become unfavorable in nature (as a seller) and capitalizing on new investment opportunities which become favorable in nature (as a buyer). By periodically rotating out of investments which become less favorable and into investment opportunities which become more favorable in nature you will realize consistent investment success over time. You won’t make winning investments all of the time, but the point is to use strategies and techniques which allow you to make winning investments for much of the time. I can help in these regards.

Please contact me if you need any assistance with any of your financial planning, management, and/or investing needs as this is one of the areas that I actively perform life coaching and training in. Also feel free to click on “Financial Planning, Management, and Investing Related Posts” to the sidebar on the right or below (depending upon which device you are using to view this article) for helpful tips on how to become a solid investor to include some of the topics that I have alluded to in this article such as pre-planning, strategy development, and risk management. These articles provide helpful tips on how to become a solid investor so read through some of these if you think they might be helpful to you. In addition, in case some of you would like to follow along, here is where I regularly post about my stock market activities. So feel free to visit this page if you would like to follow what I’m doing in the stock market at any given time.

For those that did not know, I generally perform life coaching and training services in two primary areas: 1) Personal and Professional Improvement, Development, and Growth, and 2) Financial Planning, Management, and Investing. As such, I generally alternate the articles that I write via my blogs between these two topic areas. This particular article is associated with the second area that I life coach in. So if you do not have much interest in financial planning, management, and investing, rest assured that one of the next articles that I write will be in the area that you might have greater interest in; the personal and professional improvement, development, and growth area. You can also follow me on Twitter if you like at: Joseph M Brennan Jr @ BrighterDaysLC

Joseph M. Brennan Jr.
CEO/Life Coach – Brighter Days Life Coaching
“Your Brighter Days Life Coach for Life”

6-27-2013BrennanPhotos-Main1

 

 

 

 

 

 

Make a Bad Day Better
Make a Good Day Better
Create a Brighter Life

 

 

Effective Risk Management Strategies for Volatile and/or Declining Investments

Posted on by Joseph M. Brennan Jr.

This article informs some of the considerations a solid investor evaluates when managing risk and making adjustments in investment strategies over time. In this particular case, this involves managing investment risk for securities that significantly decline in value. For those of you who have been following my stock market investing activities you know that I have been actively buying shares of an oil company called Seadrill (SDRL) over the past several weeks. The last time I bought shares was on 15 Dec. Well, since then the stock has spiked to about a 17% gain overall over the past couple of days which is about a 2.5 year gain on average. So, I decided to sell the shares I recently bought two days ago. The reason why I decided to do this was, because this will allow me to use this cash to buy additional shares should the stock reverse again and begin to decline further. Because in the world of investing nothing is ever certain. This is why developing and refining strategies “up front” is so critical to success. You want to be a disciplined investor. Not an emotional one.

To put things into perspective, regarding the SDRL stock, at the recent bottom a couple of days ago, this stock had lost about 40% since I started buying it, but my overall loss due to price averaging into it was about 12% at that point in time (the stock has dropped about 74% since the end of June). Years ago, as a young investor, I might have invested my entire investment account at the initial buy point, instead of price averaging into it over time, but have since learned that the key to investing success involves being prepared in case things do not turn out the way you might initially expect so that you can capitalize either way that things might go. This strategy has allowed me transform an initial 40% loss into about a 5% gain overall, as of today, with additional gains likely to come. Often lagging stocks become leading stocks, over time, and so long as the risk-reward indicators that I generally look at remain favorable in nature I will continue holding shares of the stock. Either way things go in the future, however, I have a plan. If SDRL continues rising significantly I’ll sell more shares to continue price averaging out of it, but if it falls significantly then I’ll look to buy more shares. Part of being a solid investor is recognizing opportunities when you see them and promptly capitalizing on them when the risk-reward of securities you are tracking become highly favorable (as a buyer) or highly unfavorable (as a potential seller or short seller) in nature.

In summary, developing and refining investment strategies up front can transform you from being an emotional investor into a disciplined one who realizes steady and consistent success over time. I have solid risk management strategies that I have developed for various investment types and investing environments, for the clients that I work with, so feel free to contact me if you’d like to find out more.

This article informs some of the considerations a solid investor evaluates when managing risk and making adjustments in investment strategies over time. Part of being a solid investor involves effectively managing risk and taking actions to exit investments which become unfavorable in nature (as a seller) and capitalizing on new investment opportunities which become favorable in nature (as a buyer). By periodically rotating out of investments which become less favorable and into investment opportunities which become more favorable in nature you will realize consistent investment success over time. You won’t make winning investments all of the time, but the point is to use strategies and techniques which allow you to make winning investments for much of the time. I can help in these regards

Please contact me if you need any assistance with any of your financial planning, management, and/or investing needs as this is one of the areas that I actively perform life coaching and training in. Also feel free to click on “Financial Planning, Management, and Investing Related Posts” to the sidebar on the right or below (depending upon which device you are using to view this article) for helpful tips on how to become a solid investor to include some of the topics that I have alluded to in this article such as price averaging and risk management. These articles provide helpful tips on how to become a solid investor so read through some of these if you think they might be helpful to you. In addition, in case some of you would like to follow along, here is where I regularly post about my stock market activities. So feel free to visit this page if you would like to follow what I’m doing in the stock market at any given time.

For those that did not know, I generally perform life coaching and training services in two primary areas: 1) Personal and Professional Improvement, Development, and Growth, and 2) Financial Planning, Management, and Investing. As such, I generally alternate the articles that I write via my blogs between these two topic areas. This particular article is associated with the second area that I life coach in. So if you do not have much interest in financial planning, management, and investing, rest assured that one of the next articles that I write will be in the area that you might have greater interest in; the personal and professional improvement, development, and growth area. You can also follow me on Twitter if you like at: Joseph M Brennan Jr @ BrighterDaysLC

Joseph M. Brennan Jr.
CEO/Life Coach – Brighter Days Life Coaching
“Your Brighter Days Life Coach for Life”

6-27-2013BrennanPhotos-Main1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Make a Bad Day Better
Make a Good Day Better
Create a Brighter Life

 

Factors to Consider When Managing Risk and Adjusting Investment Strategies Over Time

Posted on by Joseph M. Brennan Jr.

This article is about some of the factors a solid investor considers when managing risk and making adjustments in investment strategies over time. I recently made the decision to remove funds from my investment account to pay off my mortgage on my investment property as well as the second mortgage on my home. You might question such a decision given that, significant gains can generally be made in the stock market over time and, from a seasonal standpoint, the highest gains typically occur in the stock market between November and April. Well, there were two primary reasons why I made this decision:

(1) The primary stock market index that I track, the S&P 500 (SPX), has gained over 200% over the past six years while the long term average is approximately 7% per year. This indicates that, at some point, it is likely these more recent outsized gains will revert to the mean perhaps by the SPX registering several years of mediocre gains or perhaps even substantial losses. Paying off these mortgages is essentially the equivalent of experiencing guaranteed 4-5% annual gains over the next twenty to thirty years and, given the outsized gains experienced to date, and the potential for mean reversion, this might turn out to be a much better gain over the long term versus risking what I have and investing in something that is far less certain.

(2) Substantially reducing the size of my investment account curbs my risk taking in the stock market and, should substantial losses be experienced in the future, these will have a much more limited impact on my financial position overall.

Years ago I was firmly against using investment funds to pay off mortgages, because the potential stock market gains far outweighed the typical interest rates and the associated tax benefits, but the times have changed and I am now in favor of doing just that; especially for those investors within six or seven years of retirement. I recommend, however, that investors 10+ years away from retirement instead regularly sell shares of their investments so that they will have cash available to take advantage of stock market declines when they happen. In the present investing environment, I prefer cash over investing in bonds or bond funds due to interest rates being at historical lows and the likelihood that interest rates will begin rising over the next few years. According to one article, based on historical data, even as little as a 1% rise in interest rates over a period of six months (a 0.25% rate hike per Fed meeting – the Fed meets every six weeks), which is a reasonable expectation, could result in a 5.4% loss in bonds and the bond funds which track them. So I recommend steering clear of bonds and bond funds at least until interest rates “normalize” a bit. Cash might be a better option until this happens, because you would then only experience losses due to inflation (about a 2% inflation rate per year is a reasonable expectation). However, the losses experienced in bonds and bond funds would be in addition to losses due to inflation. So that 5.4% loss I alluded to earlier would effectively amount to a 7.4% loss overall when also including the inflationary effect. Of course, there are times when the bond market might do well, especially when there is substantial fear in the stock market and people sell their stocks and buy bonds instead, but it is likely that these spikes will be short lived and temporary in nature. Furthermore, timing these spikes is likely to prove to be difficult both when buying into and when selling out of these. I believe a much safer way to invest going forward is cashing out from time to time and using that cash to buy stocks during stock market declines. Another option would be to purchase portfolio protection such as volatility products which rise when overall stock markets fall.

In summary, the risk-reward of the overall stock market is no longer as favorable as it has been in the past, the risk-reward of the overall bond market appears to be highly unfavorable in nature with the exception of short term spikes due to fear in the stock market, and cash appears to be “king” given the investing environment we are rapidly approaching so that we can capitalize on potential stock market declines. I have a solid risk management strategy that I developed specifically for use in investing environments such as this, for the clients that I work with, so feel free to contact me if you’d like to find out more.

Each of the above are indications that it might make sense to tread carefully going forward with respect to your investments. Effectively managing your risk and having cash available to take advantage of future compelling investment opportunities will allow you to succeed in this kind of investing environment. Being a solid investor involves effectively managing risk and taking actions to exit investments which become unfavorable in nature and capitalizing on new investment opportunities which become favorable in nature. By periodically rotating out of investments which become less favorable and into investment opportunities which become more favorable in nature you will realize consistent investment success over time. You won’t make winning investments all of the time, but the point is to use strategies and techniques which allow you to make winning investments for much of the time. I can help in these regards.

This article informs some of the factors a solid investor considers when managing risk and making adjustments in investment strategies over time. Part of being a successful investor, and realizing consistent gains over time, involves recognizing indicators of when to reduce your exposure to certain investment alternatives, and risk overall, when to increase your exposure to certain investment alternatives, and risk overall, and when to cash out and sit on the sidelines patiently awaiting the next compelling investment opportunities and favorable investing environments overall.

Please contact me if you need any assistance with any of your financial planning, management, and/or investing needs as this is one of the areas that I actively perform life coaching and training in. Also feel free to click on “Financial Planning, Management, and Investing Related Posts” to the sidebar on the right or below (depending upon which device you are using to view this article) for helpful tips on how to become a solid investor.

Other articles that I’ve written related to financial planning, management, and investing include:
(1) Reasons to Sell or Short-Sell Stocks and Other Investments
(2) Risk: How Much Should You Take When Investing Your Money?
(3) Using Technical Indicators and Charts to Guide Stock Market Activities and Using Price Averaging to Manage Risk
(4) Using Bollinger Bands, Stochastics, and Other Indicators to Guide Stock Market Activities
(5) Using Moving Averages and Price Averaging to Realize Consistent Gains in the Stock Market

These articles provide helpful tips on how to become a solid investor so read through some of these if you think they might be helpful to you. In addition, in case some of you would like to follow along, here is where I regularly post about my stock market activities. So feel free to visit this page if you’d like to follow what I’m doing in the stock market at any given time.

For those that did not know, I generally perform life coaching and training services in two primary areas: 1) Personal and Professional Improvement, Development, and Growth, and 2) Financial Planning, Management, and Investing. As such, I generally alternate the articles that I write via my blogs between these two topic areas. This particular article is associated with the second area that I life coach in. So if you don’t have much interest in financial planning, management, and investing, rest assured that the next article that I write will be in the area that you might have greater interest in; the personal and professional improvement, development, and growth area. You can also follow me on Twitter if you like at: Joseph M Brennan Jr @ BrighterDaysLC

Joseph M. Brennan Jr.
CEO/Life Coach – Brighter Days Life Coaching
“Your Brighter Days Life Coach for Life”

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Reasons to Sell or Short-Sell Stocks and Other Investments

Posted on by Joseph M. Brennan Jr.

This article is about some of the factors a disciplined investor considers when deciding whether or not to sell or short-sell stocks and other investments. Short-selling is a practice where an investor borrows shares of a stock or other investments, with the anticipation that prices will fall, and buys them later at hopefully lower prices. If the prices rise instead then the investor loses money. I’m not fond of short-selling myself, but at least wanted to share it since the factors that influence when to sell stocks or other investments are often some of the same factors an investor might consider when short-selling.

If you follow my stock market activities then you know that I have done quite a bit of selling lately and am now completely out of the stock market. From a seasonal standpoint, November is typically the time to buy (and not sell) stocks since the highest gains typically occur between November and April so you might question why I decided to sell out of this market. Well, there were two primary reasons: 1) I bought into the mid September-to-mid October market slump where the stock market lost nearly 10% and since then the stock market has gained over 11% over a period of about 3 weeks or so which is about a year and a half gain (on average) over a period of weeks. 2) My year end “stretch” goal for my investment account was 12% and I gained 16% as of Friday which is over a two year gain on average. When the overall market bottomed in mid-October, and I kept buying into it, my investment account was at a 6% loss, so it has risen 22% since then. Rather than continue taking risk I sold what I had to realize this gain and await an overall market pullback or other compelling investment opportunities before putting my cash to work.

Below are factors that I frequently consider when evaluating whether or not to sell shares of stocks or other investments that I’m holding at the time:

(1) Technical charts and indicators approaching extreme levels. For example, if you take a look at the slow stochastics chart below, at the bottom of the chart, for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) you can see that the lines are above 80 which indicates, from a statistical perspective, that the stock is overbought and is due for for a pullback. In addition, in the top chart, the prices are approaching the upper Bollinger Band at ~ 2067, another statistical indicator, which is perhaps even more concerning due to the significant widening of the upper and lower bands associated with the extreme price declines and the rapid recovery between 19 September and 7 November. I typically look at a variety of charts and indicators and generally take a “weighted average” across those that appear to best reflect the “personality” of the stocks or other investments that I am tracking to aid in “buy” and “sell” decision making. Tracking the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is a good index to track, because about 60% of stocks rise when the SPX rises and about 80% of stocks decline when the SPX falls. So the SPX is worth paying attention to.

Chart courtesy of stocks.com

Chart courtesy of stocks.com

(2) Stocks or other investments rising significantly above their means. Stocks tend to be mean reverting over time so prices significantly above or below the mean(s) tend to reverse and revert back to the means at some point.

(3) Stock prices approaching or exceeding their 1 year price targets. Analysts generally provide 12 month price targets for the stocks that they cover and they revise these over time. As such, it is likely that prices approaching or exceeding their 1 year price targets will have limited upside unless significant upside revisions are made by the analysts that cover the stock at some point in the future.

(4) Stocks or other investments which previously declined significantly, but have since nearly reverted back to their means or have recovered nicely from their previous declines.

(5) Stocks or other investments which previously gapped down significantly on a decline begin “filling in the gap”.

(6) Prices approaching resistance zones represented by moving averages or trend analyses.

(7) The percentage gain to date. I always try to lock-in a good gain when I see one even if the other indicators I look at are favorable towards the stocks or other investments that I am holding. This allows me to have cash available to take advantage of any other investment opportunities which might become highly favorable, in the future, in terms of the indicators that I generally look at to evaluate stocks. I typically consider about 7% per year to be an average annual return in the stock market although far above average returns have been observed in the past few years. It is likely, however, that annual gains will begin reverting back to their means at some point in the future.

(8) The risk-reward indicators that I generally look at become unfavorable in nature such as some of the factors indicated above or some of the fundamental indicators that I frequently look at.

(9) Other investment opportunities start becoming much more favorable than some of the ones I’m holding, but I am fully invested and have no cash on hand at the time to take advantage of these opportunities. When this happens I look to sell some of the stocks that I’m holding to free up cash so that I might capitalize on these other potentially more compelling opportunities.

(10) Reaching or exceeding my ultimate or year end target goals for my overall investment account. Anytime that you begin approaching your ultimate or year end target goals this should prompt you to reduce your stock market exposure to manage your risk.

Each of the above are indications that it might make sense to sell some shares; especially when two or more of these factors are present. Selling shares when such opportunities arise allows you to effectively manage risk and have cash available to take advantage of future compelling investment opportunities.

Being a disciplined investor involves tracking multiple investment alternatives and taking actions to capitalize on those which become highly favorable investment opportunities over time and exiting those which become less favorable. By periodically rotating out of investments which become less favorable and into investment opportunities which become more favorable in nature you will realize consistent gains over time. You won’t make winning investments all of the time, but the point is to use strategies and techniques which allow you to make winning investments for much of the time

This article informs some of the factors a disciplined investor considers when deciding whether or not to sell or short-sell stocks and other investments. Part of being a successful investor, and realizing consistent gains over time, involves recognizing indicators of when to reduce your stock market exposure, and risk overall, by selling shares of stocks or other investments.

Please contact me if you need any assistance with any of your financial planning, management, and/or investing needs as this is one of the areas that I actively perform life coaching and training in. Also feel free to click on “Financial Planning, Management, and Investing Related Posts” on the sidebar to the right or below (depending on which device you are using)  for helpful tips on how to become a solid investor.

Other articles that I’ve written related to financial planning, management, and investing include:

(1) Risk: How Much Should You Take When Investing Your Money?
(2) Using Technical Indicators and Charts to Guide Stock Market Activities and Using Price Averaging to Manage Risk
(3) Using Bollinger Bands, Stochastics, and Other Indicators to Guide Stock Market Activities
(4) Using Moving Averages and Price Averaging to Realize Consistent Gains in the Stock Market

These articles provide helpful tips on how to become a solid investor so read through some of these if you think they might be helpful to you. In addition, in case some of you would like to follow along, here is where I regularly post about my stock market activities. So feel free to visit this page if you’d like to follow what I’m doing in the stock market at any given time.

For those that did not know, I generally perform life coaching and training services in two primary areas: 1) Personal and Professional Improvement, Development, and Growth, and 2) Financial Planning, Management, and Investing. As such, I generally alternate the articles that I write via my blogs between these two topic areas. This particular article is associated with the second area that I life coach in. So if you don’t have much interest in financial planning, management, and investing, rest assured that the next article that I write will be in the area that you might have greater interest in; the personal and professional improvement, development, and growth area. You can also follow me on Twitter if you like at: Joseph M Brennan Jr @ BrighterDaysLC

 

Joseph M. Brennan Jr.
CEO/Life Coach – Brighter Days Life Coaching
“Your Brighter Days Life Coach for Life”

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Make a Bad Day Better
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Create a Brighter Life

Risk: How Much Should You Take When Investing Your Money?

Posted on by Joseph M. Brennan Jr.

Perhaps the most important consideration when making investment decisions involves risk. However, what many people fail to realize is that not only can it be detrimental to their financial future to take too much risk, but it can also be detrimental to their financial future to not take enough risk. Largely, due to the bursting of the dot com bubble in 2000 and the subsequent financial crisis of 2008, many of today’s investors associate risk with emotional comfort level and, as such, primarily rely on cash savings or conservative investments to empower their financial future. However, what many of these investors fail to realize is that it could take a lifetime (or longer) to reach their financial goals in this fashion. Thus, even though they might tell themselves that they are taking little or no risk at all via the financial decisions they are making today they are, in fact, taking substantial risks in terms of empowering their financial future.

So, just what is the right balance between taking too much risk and not taking enough risk? This is a question that I frequently work with people to determine when coaching them on how to manage risk over the life of their investments. I do this in several ways to include:

A. Determining the risk category for each investment goal whether it’s a down payment for a home, an education fund, down payments for investment properties, or a retirement fund. The two primary considerations for determining the appropriate risk categories are:

(1) The defined amount needed upon reaching the investment goal (i.e., how do you know when the goal has been met?). To remain relevant, this amount may need to be adjusted over time. For example, when first establishing a financial goal for a down payment on a home you might initially estimate that you need $20,000 for this down payment, but later, due to home price increases and the type, size, and location of the home that you then desire you might discover that you actually need $30,000.

(2) How much money you presently have, how much money you still need to reach your latest adjusted goal, and what your time horizon is for reaching this goal. If, for a given investment goal, an analysis is performed and the determination made that it falls into a high risk category then you will need to invest in higher risk investments in order to meet this financial goal within your desired time frame. Otherwise it will take longer to reach this goal. The good news about being in a high risk category is that you do not have to be very precise in terms of market timing and/or the investment selected to progress towards the financial goal. On the other hand, if, for a given investment goal, this analysis is performed and a determination made that it falls into a low risk category than you will need to invest in lower risk investments to better ensure that you will not lose a significant portion of what you presently have should the markets experience significant declines. Otherwise, you run the risk, again, that it will take longer to reach this goal. In other words, it doesn’t make sense to take a lot of risk when you do not have to if you can meet this financial goal without taking this additional risk. The bad news about being in a low risk category is that you have to be much more precise in terms of not buying at the wrong time, or not buying the wrong investments, in order to sufficiently progress towards the financial goal. Unfortunately, as stated previously, many of today’s investors associate risk with emotional comfort level and thus rely on cash savings or conservative investments to empower their financial future. Furthermore, many of them have not even taken the steps to define what each of their investment goals are. If they did, they might be surprised at how long it might take to reach these investment goals by relying on cash savings and conservative investments. For example, if you had a total of $10,000 today, save an additional $2,000 per year plus a 5% increase for each future year, and invest all of this in emotionally comfortable conservative investments earning 3% a year, and plan to retire when you have a million dollars then it would take you 67 years to reach this retirement goal. Sixty seven years! However, it’s actually much worse than that. If you estimate that you might need $1,000,000 in today’s dollars to retire how much would that need to be 67 years from now? Well, assuming an average inflation rate of 2% per year, then your investment goal would need to be $3,800,000 dollars. So, although many of today’s investors invest in emotionally, comfortable, conservative investments what they do not realize is that they may not be able to reach their financial goals in their entire lifetimes! So, defining and refining their investment goals and re-evaluating progress and time frames are essential to ensure the appropriate investment risks are being taken. An investment which is emotionally comfortable today may not result in the gains needed to realize the investment goals within the desired timeframes. Recently, I coached a woman who wanted to retire in five years time, but was investing all of her money in a conservative bond fund. After performing some analyses we determined that her current savings would have to grow ten fold in order to reach her investment goal. Using an above average return rate of 8% per year it would take about 28 years or so to reach this goal. If she wanted to retire much sooner than that then the only chance she’d have of making it would be via high risk investments. Please do not wait until you are five years from reaching a major financial goal without understanding the appropriate level of risk to take to ensure your success. You don’t want to be forced into a high risk investment with little time to recover should the markets not cooperate. Making these assessments early on, and making adjustments and managing risk all along the way, is critical and will accelerate your progress towards reaching each of your financial goals.

B. Track and perform risk-reward assessments across various investment alternatives and invest in those which are appropriate with respect to the risk category associated with each investment goal. I perform risk-reward assessments based on various indicators and financial data that I regularly review and evaluate. I’ve discussed some of these via some of my previous articles: Using Bollinger Bands, Stochastics, and Other Indicators to Guide Stock Market Activities and Using Technical Indicators and Charts to Guide Stock Market Activities and Using Price Averaging to Manage Risk.

C. Invest in a disciplined fashion in accordance with the risk category associated with each investment goal using investment strategies appropriate for the risk category. I work with people to develop investment strategies in this fashion. One of the many strategies that I use is averaging into the stock pricing when buying and averaging out of the stock pricing when selling which is something that I discussed in one of my previous articles: Using Technical Indicators and Charts to Guide Stock Market Activities and Using Price Averaging to Manage Risk.

So, effectively managing risk and finding the right balance between taking too much risk and not taking enough risk, all along the way, is critical for empowering your financial future. Do not rely on cash savings and conservative investments if it will take nearly a lifetime (or longer) to reach your financial goals. Likewise, if you have made substantial progress towards reaching your financial goals, do not take so much risk that you stand to lose a large percentage of this progress if the markets significantly decline. I can help you to determine the right balance between these two extremes. And achieving the correct balance is critical if you hope to have the money you need to reach each of your future financial goals.

Managing risk and maintaining the correct balance of risk is key to progressing towards your financial future and the freedom that it brings. The impact of not doing this smartly is the same either way. If you do not take enough risk you will not reach your financial goals within your desired timeframes and if you take too much risk you will not reach your financial goals within your desired timeframes. The optimal level of risk to take at any given time is fluid and dependent upon your specific financial goal, the progress to date, and the associated timeframe. Any change to any one of these aspects will influence the level of risk appropriate for meeting the specified or refined financial goal within the specified or refined timeframe. Sticking to the same plan independent of these considerations will threaten your financial future and the financial freedom that it brings. I can help you to achieve this balance every step of the way.

This article informs how to manage risk and how to find the right balance between taking too much risk and not taking enough risk for each of your investment goals. Part of being a successful investor, and realizing consistent gains over time, involves managing risk and finding the right balance between these two extremes in a fluid, disciplined fashion over time.

For those that did not know, I generally perform life coaching and training services in two primary areas: 1) Personal and Professional Improvement, Development, and Growth, and 2) Financial Planning, Management, and Investing. As such, I generally alternate the articles that I write via my blogs between these two topic areas. This particular article is associated with the second area that I life coach in. So if you don’t have much interest in financial planning, management, and investing, rest assured that the next article that I write will be in the area that you might have greater interest in; the personal and professional improvement, development, and growth area.

 

Joseph M. Brennan Jr.
CEO/Life Coach – Brighter Days Life Coaching
“Your Brighter Days Life Coach for Life”

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Using Technical Indicators and Charts to Guide Stock Market Activities and Using Price Averaging to Manage Risk

Posted on by Joseph M. Brennan Jr.

Generally, I like to use a series of indicators to evaluate the risk-reward potential of various stocks as well as inform and guide actions that I take in the stock market in a disciplined fashion. Two of these I discussed in a previous article, Using Bollinger Bands, Stochastics, and Other Indicators to Guide Stock Market Activities. This article discusses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and ways to manage risk via price averaging. A couple of days ago, in the stock market, I decided to sell additional shares of my Unisys (UIS) stock based on the RSI and other indicators and financial data that I generally look at while using dollar cost averaging to manage risk.

I initially bought the UIS stock a few months ago, because the risk-reward indicators and financial data that I generally look at appeared to be highly favorable at that time. Since then, the stock had both declined significantly and increased significantly at various points in time. When the stock declined significantly, I performed a risk-reward assessment based on the indicators, charts, and financial data that I frequently look at and determined that the pricing of the stock was highly favorable. I then started aggressively buying as a result. When the stock began to rise I continued performing risk-reward assessments and when the pricing of the stock began to approach less favorable conditions I started selling shares. One of the indicators that I sometimes look at when making these determinations is the RSI as depicted on the following chart.

UIS Candlestick and RSI Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

UIS Candlestick and RSI Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

When the RSI line rises above the 70 level and then hooks down then that is the textbook definition of a sell signal. When the RSI line falls below the 30 level and then hooks upwards then that is the textbook definition of a buy signal. In my experience, I’ve found that doing some buying and selling as the RSI line approaches those two extremes has resulted in consistent gains over time. I don’t usually like to wait until the textbook definition is met before starting to buy and sell as it will most likely take a long time for these conditions to be met. I just execute my “buy” and “sell” activities in accordance with the risk profile associated with the investment goal I am trying to reach. If the investment goal I am trying to reach is in a high risk category then I will most likely wait at least until the textbook definition is met for the RSI before selling shares and not wait for the textbook definition to be met for the RSI when buying shares. If the investment goal I am trying to reach is in a low risk category then I will most likely do the opposite; only buying shares when the textbook definition is met for the RSI and selling shares prior to the textbook definition to be met on the sell side.

As I discussed in a previous article, Using Bollinger Bands, Stochastics, and Other Indicators to Guide Stock Market Activities, other potential reasons for selling shares of the UIS stock still held true in that the UIS stock had not only “reverted to the mean” but had risen above both the 20 day and 50 day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). I discuss moving averages in further detail in my article, Using Moving Averages and Price Averaging to Realize Consistent Gains in the Stock Market. In addition to the EMA aspects, the UIS stock had continued “filling in the gap” between the 23 July gap down in the stock price and the previous day’s closing stock price.

Each of these were indications that the UIS stock might have been getting a little pricey and that it might have made sense to sell some shares to manage risk and have cash available to take advantage of future investment opportunities that became available. The UIS stock has had a pretty good run since the 23 July drop, gaining nearly 20%, so it made sense to sell some shares and await the next favorable investment opportunity to put those dollars to work.

Price averaging is a technique that I frequently use to manage risk and to realize consistent gains in the stock market. I like to price average into stocks when buying them and to price average out of stocks when selling them. It is nearly impossible to get the absolute best price when buying and selling stocks, but via price averaging you will often get a good price. I generally use this price averaging process over multiple time frames. For example, when my risk reward assessment of a stock becomes highly favorable, via the indicators and financial data that I generally look at, and I plan to begin purchasing shares of the stock then I will usually monitor the stock price during the day and try to buy about half of the stock when the price approaches the low of the mid-morning part of the day and then buy the remaining half towards the end of the day; resulting in a price that is the average between these two prices. This ensures that at least I did not buy the stock at the highest point during the day and that I purchased the shares for a somewhat reasonable price. Following these initial purchases, I generally monitor the price of the shares throughout the days and weeks that follow and anytime the stock falls significantly from my currently averaged price point, and my risk-reward assessment for the stock remains favorable, I buy additional shares which essentially brings down the average price that I paid for the shares overall.

In a similar fashion, I price average out of stocks when selling shares. For example, when my risk reward assessment of a stock becomes unfavorable in nature, via the indicators and financial data that I generally look at, and I decide that I want to begin selling shares of the stock then I will usually monitor the stock price during the day and try to sell about half of the stock when the price approaches the high of the mid-morning part of the day and then sell the remaining half towards the end of the day; again resulting in a price that is the average between these two prices. This ensures that at least I did not sell the stock at the lowest point of the day and that I sold the shares for a somewhat reasonable price. Following the initial sales of my shares, I then generally monitor the price of the shares throughout the days and weeks that follow and anytime the stock rises significantly from my currently averaged price point, and my risk-reward assessment for the stock remains unfavorable, I sell additional shares which brings up the average price that I sold the shares for overall.

Price averaging is a wonderful way in which to manage risk and to realize consistent gains over time. So I encourage you to use this price averaging process when performing your investment activities. Again, it is extremely difficult to get the “best” price, but not so difficult to get a “good” price. Price averaging can help to ensure that you always get a decent price both when buying and selling shares. I have even successfully used this price averaging process to transform large initial losses into eventual gains. For example, I once experienced a 33% loss on a bad call I made on HG Gregg (HGG), but I kept buying the stock on the way down which eventually resulted in an overall gain of 5%.

So… That’s where things stand for me in the stock market right now. I’ll let you know how things go. Either way I have a plan. If the UIS stock rises significantly, or the risk-reward becomes substantially more unfavorable in nature via the indicators and financial data that I look at, then I’ll be a seller of additional shares, but if the UIS stock falls significantly, and the risk-reward becomes favorable in nature via these indicators and data, then I’ll be a buyer.

This article informs how to evaluate the risk-reward potential of various investment alternatives and how to manage risk and realize consistent gains in your investments over time using techniques such as price averaging and various indicators such as the RSI. Part of being a disciplined investor, and realizing consistent gains over time, involves recognizing favorable versus unfavorable conditions, taking actions accordingly, and patiently waiting until the next compelling buy or sell investment opportunity arises; one in which the risk-reward becomes favorable for you, from either the buyer or seller perspective, according to your risk profile. If you operate in this fashion you will experience much success as an investor.

For those that did not know, I generally perform life coaching and training services in two primary areas: 1) Personal and Professional Improvement, Development, and Growth, and 2) Financial Planning, Management, and Investing. As such, I generally alternate the articles that I write via my blogs between these two topic areas. This particular article is associated with the second area that I life coach in. So if you do not have much interest in financial planning, management, and investing, rest assured that the next article that I write will be in the area that you might have greater interest in; the personal and professional improvement, development, and growth area.

 

Joseph M. Brennan Jr.
CEO/Life Coach – Brighter Days Life Coaching
“Your Brighter Days Life Coach for Life”
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Make a Bad Day Better
Make a Good Day Better
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